http://peru21.pe/noticia/722939/ppk-outsider-campana_1
is not a huge leap filled with fear that their rivals, but its growth from two points (from 5% to 7%), solid in their voting intentions and the perception that high would be the only 'outsider' in this campaign can make Pedro Pablo Kuczynski the character to stand out in the last national survey (urban and rural) by Datum Internacional, exclusively for Peru.21.
Because in the squad up there are not many changes from the previous poll in mid-February. Alejandro Toledo is still leading (rising from 28% to 29%) and continue to seconding, drawn, and Keiko Fujimori Luis Castañeda (both down from 19% to 18%). Ollanta Humala grows two points, from 11% to 13%, but their intention to vote is the most fragile (40% of voters might change their minds).
"The surprise is the advancement of Kuczynski and Humala," said Manuel Torrado, director of Datum. "Both have room to grow," he adds.
THE SURPRISE. The advantage, theoretically, PPK is that the accession of their constituents is strong: 72% of those who say they will vote for him and I have decided. Fujimori has only one vote more robust (74%).
When asked respondents if there was room for an 'outsider', 37% said yes. And of these, 49% believe it would be the leader of the Alliance for the Great Shift (the other possibility, Humala, is mentioned by 16%).
"What happens is that Humala is seen as a traditional politician, assimilated to the system. PPK is new in these conflicts, "says Torrado.
THE Antipater. Another surprise of this survey is that for the first time, Humala is the politician most 'antivoto' the country. Now he shares the seat of honor with Keiko Fujimori: 27% of Peruvians would not vote for neither.
It appears that media reports about Fujimori's links with drug traffickers permeated the public perception and the recent resurgence of Vladimiro Montesinos and the memory their relationship with Alberto Fujimori. "The presence of Montesinos is a serious problem for Keiko," Torrado said.
Almost none of the leading candidates are apparently linked to a pound of dark episodes. A Fujimori and Toledo are linked to drug trafficking, Humala Hugo Chávez Castañeda Comunicore the case. Kuczynski is the only one saved.
Meanwhile, the feeling that, regardless of for whom we vote, Toledo will be the winner has increased from 44% to 56%. However, at the same time, the percentage of Peruvians that you think should be the drug test is huge (77%).
INGRATITUDE "? The data disappointed that the Government is that 72% of Peruvians do not believe that Alan Garcia will leave a better country received, 79% do not believe that have governed thinking about the poor and 85% did not think that it should be reelected in 2016. Figures surprising for a president who until a few months began to regain popularity.
A nontraditional candidate
Jaime de Althaus Write
Pedro Pablo Kuczynski
is not a politician traditional. Nor is it a traditional technical. Belongs to a category of citizens who have few specimens in Peru: the men with a vocation for public service
, a spirit perhaps inherited from his father, a European doctor who came to the Peruvian Amazon to fight against leprosy other tropical diseases and then to the mountains to fight malnutrition.
In a country where, generally, the state has served to thrive or to seek their own businesses, such a vocation in Peru is not understood or arouses suspicion. As a candidate, lacks the attractiveness of fighting a vein. Lacks the malice and aggression politician
Creole. Its strengths are the good spirit, knowledge of Peru and the world, handling issues and clarity of exposition. Virtues that allowed him to bring together leaders and
diverse but complementary groups in a spirit of open collaboration and honesty that, if it is well known, and if it actually manages to raise the image of a "national majority" There conjugate, can trigger the intention vote. The cheerful simplicity
release of his candidacy had the feeling of making a cleaning fee and good intentions into an election campaign that no doubt needed.
Otherwise, we face the only candidate who has been able to write a plan of government. The book "Peru, now or never" attacks, among others, an issue which, well used, can attract many votes:
the big problem of informality. Suggests that 80% of Peruvians have a formal job, social security and pension, 2021. Now only 35% have it. He advocates reducing the GST one point per year (which, paradoxically, would increase revenue by formalizing precisely) to reach a 15% VAT, that new workers entering the labor regime than with unemployment insurance and greater flexibility to promote formal employment, 5 points and reduce the income tax to companies that add 10% or more of workers in the formal return per year.
And finally someone not raised to fight poverty through welfare programs but by increasing the productivity of Andean peasant agriculture with programs such as Sierra products bearing
irrigation spray, etc. Posed by the phasing of coastal rivers to recharge ground water, a comprehensive reform of the municipal water companies, the creation of a satellite city south of Lima
, the regrouping of government ministries, among other ideas. But also accurate cost of proposals: something that has no precedent in the government's plans in Peru
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