Fixing A Wooded Swingset

SCENARIOS RECALLING PAST, by MIRKO LAUER (Journal REPUBLIC)

For PUCP-IOP survey in March Ollanta Humala now and Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, the two candidates under the first division, have begun to rise significantly. From January to date Humala from 12% to 16%, and PPK 4% to 11%. As the pollster says, the difference between the first and the fifth is narrowed, "a high component of uncertainty."

A first reaction to these figures is questionable whether either of these two candidates could still enter the second round in the month of the campaign is missing. Really are at the gates, and the rhythm going at least one of them could realistically think of moving to the second position, and aim higher. This is a new scenario development.
far Humala of the growth and PPK has been for a sum of transverse: votes of three-pointers and votes of the undecided, that from January to date have been reduced from 18% to 10%. But with the sack of undecided depleted, from here the game is to wrest the two votes in those ahead of them, and who already have some exposure.
The three pointers displayed losing votes in the March survey. What is striking is that their numbers thanks to a mechanical resist roller coaster: large falls in some areas, offset by large increases in others. The record loss was Keiko Fujimori, 14% fall in the middle, and record high voting was a tripling of Humala in the east, to 19%.
is interesting that the survey shows on resistance of particular plan to vote for candidate. All have grown, but Luis Castillo continues to be the lowest 40%. Resistance to vote for Toledo has hit a jump, from 34% in January to 43% in March. Humala and PPK are still by far the most resisted.
One conclusion that emerges from this survey, from a question card, is that Humala with 16% and rising and is fighting for second place with Fujimori, 19%, and Castaneda, 17%, both with a downward trend. Another is that PPK is the candidate that is rising faster, and could be placed in the same competition soon.
The new situation evokes past scenarios. The anger that moved into second place and from there to win in 1990. The seemingly radical menacing which ended with half the national sympathies in 2006. The new scenario is the tendency to converge on the numbers of candidates. A month seems long enough so that the lines cross.
That said, a wide 47% think that Toledo will be the winner, 15% believe the same of Castaneda, 14% of Fujimori. However, the trend is that the electorate belies his own predictions, and the feel of the survey is that the order of the numbers one month of the election only tells us that there is now a shaky ground.